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1. The Trust Gap: Most Shoppers Doubt Black Friday Deals

6 in 10 Shoppers Think Most Black Friday Deals Aren't Real Savings (2026 Survey)

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Report Highlights

  • 58% of shoppers think no more than 4 in 10 advertised Black Friday deals offer a genuine saving, and 85% believe retailers use at least one pricing trick.
  • 59% plan to use an AI chatbot for Black Friday, but only 7% start their search there. Additionally, only 4% would let AI buy for them.
  • Twice as many will do most of their shopping on a computer or laptop (55%) as on a phone (26%).
  • 35% of Gen Z will cut back on eating out to afford Black Friday, compared with 14% of boomers.
  • 53% of buy now, pay later users expect to be paying after January, compared with 16% of other shoppers.
  • 1 in 3 have bought something they didn't need because it was cheap, and 1 in 4 have waited in line for two hours or more.

Black Friday still draws most shoppers, but few trust its deals. In our 2026 survey of 899 US adults, 58% said no more than 4 in 10 advertised Black Friday deals offer a genuine saving, and 59% believe retailers raise prices in the weeks before the sale.
Shoppers are fighting back with sites that show price history, retailer comparisons, and, for a majority, AI chatbots. They're also stretching their budgets. More than half will cut back elsewhere to afford the sales, and 1 in 5 expect to be paying for this year's purchases after January.

Not sure if a deal is worth it?
Our Black Friday calculator shows what you'll really pay and save on any offer, from percent-off discounts to "buy 2, get 1 free," along with shipping and tax.

Most shoppers suspect retailers of playing games with Black Friday prices. 59% believe retailers raise prices in the weeks before the sale, then cut them back to normal, while 54% believe stores advertise a "was" price that the item never really sold at. Altogether, 85% believe at least one of the three most common tactics.

Younger shoppers are the most suspicious of "was" prices (64% of Gen Z vs 47% of boomers). Suspicion hasn't turned shoppers away from the sales, though: 42% believe some discounts really are as good as they look.

That suspicion extends to the deals themselves. When we asked how many of every 10 advertised deals offer a genuine saving, the most common answer was three or four (30%). In total, 58% think no more than 4 in 10 are real savings, while only fewer than 1 in 10 believe 8 or more are. Women are the more skeptical group. 61% put the figure at four or less, compared with 54% of men.

85-suspect-pricing-trick
85% of shoppers suspect a Black Friday pricing trick

Question: Out of every 10 Black Friday deals you see advertised, how many do you think offer a genuine saving compared with what the item normally costs?

The remaining 4% weren't sure.

Answer

Overall

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Boomers

Women

Men

Three or four out of 10

30%

34%

32%

27%

29%

28%

33%

One or two out of 10

24%

21%

27%

23%

25%

29%

19%

Five out of 10

18%

22%

16%

18%

16%

16%

19%

Six or seven out of 10

12%

15%

13%

11%

12%

12%

13%

Eight or nine out of 10

6%

3%

5%

9%

5%

5%

7%

None of them

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

2%

All 10 of them

3%

1%

1%

3%

5%

3%

3%

To tell real deals from fake ones, shoppers use a mix of methods:

  • Compare the same item across several retailers: 59%
  • Look up the item's price history: 52% (59% of Gen Z and millennials vs 39% of boomers)
  • Note the price themselves beforehand: 41%
  • Read reviews or forums to see what others paid: 30%
  • Ask an AI chatbot: 23% (28% of men vs 18% of women)
  • Use a price-tracking browser extension: 15% (22% of Gen Z vs 10% of boomers)
  • Take the advertised discount at face value: 7%

There's still a gap: among those who believe prices are raised before the sale, 23% use no tool to show them the earlier price, such as price history, a note of their own, or a browser extension.

59% plan to use an AI chatbot like ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, or Copilot for at least one Black Friday task. Most want help with the research: comparing prices across stores (42%), checking whether a discount is a real saving (31%), and coming up with gift ideas (27%).

42-use-ai.svg
42% of shoppers will use AI to compare Black Friday prices

Only 4% would let AI buy something for them from start to finish.

Handing over the purchase is another matter. Only 4% would let AI buy something for them from start to finish, and just 7% start their Black Friday search on a chatbot. Amazon (31%) and Google or Bing (29%) remain the first stop, even for AI users. Among the 531 respondents who plan to use AI, only 12% start there.

Question: When you start looking for something to buy in this year's Black Friday sales, where do you go first?

The remaining 8% don’t plan to shop these sales

Answer

Overall

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Boomers

Women

Men

Amazon

31%

22%

29%

34%

36%

33%

29%

A search engine

29%

35%

33%

25%

24%

29%

29%

A store's website or app

16%

16%

18%

19%

11%

19%

14%

An AI chatbot

7%

10%

7%

7%

5%

5%

11%

A physical store

4%

5%

2%

4%

5%

4%

3%

A social media app

2%

6%

2%

1%

0%

3%

2%

A friend or family member

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

For most shoppers, Black Friday stretches across several weeks. Half (51%) will shop October or early November sales, and more plan to shop Cyber Monday (75%) than Black Friday itself (71%). Gen Z is the exception: 85% plan to shop on Black Friday, compared with 57% of boomers.
Smaller groups will shop Small Business Saturday (22%) and Thanksgiving Day (20%). Women are more likely than men to shop October sales (56% vs 46%) and Small Business Saturday (27% vs 16%).
Most of that shopping will happen online, and on a bigger screen than you might expect. 55% will do most of their shopping on a computer or laptop, twice as many as on a phone or tablet (26%). Only 11% will shop mostly in stores.

8-in-10-shop-online
8 in 10 Americans will do most of their Black Friday shopping online

Amazon leads the list of where people plan to shop (80%), well ahead of Walmart (56%), Target (38%), and Best Buy (30%). Only 9% plan to shop Temu, Shein, or similar low-cost marketplaces. Target skews young, drawing about half of Gen Z (46%) and millennials (50%) but only 24% of boomers.

Question: Which of these retailers do you plan to shop in this year's Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales? Select all that apply.

The remaining 8% don’t plan to shop these sales

Answer

Overall

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Boomers

Women

Men

Amazon

80%

83%

84%

80%

73%

82%

79%

Walmart

56%

60%

52%

59%

51%

56%

55%

Target

38%

46%

50%

32%

24%

42%

35%

Best Buy

30%

40%

31%

28%

25%

24%

37%

Costco, Sam's Club, other warehouse club

25%

24%

30%

25%

21%

23%

28%

Kohl's, Macy's, other department store

21%

22%

18%

24%

21%

29%

13%

Local small business

18%

19%

20%

16%

20%

21%

16%

Home Depot, Lowe's, other home improvement store

17%

18%

18%

16%

16%

15%

20%

Temu, Shein, other low-cost marketplace

9%

11%

9%

11%

5%

11%

8%

The most common Black Friday budget is $250 to $499 (29%), and the average planned spend is an estimated $394. Most shoppers expect to spend about what they did last year (44%), while 25% plan to spend more and 18% less.
Here's how much shoppers plan to spend from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday:

  • Under $100: 7% (15% of Gen Z)
  • $100 to $249: 22%
  • $250 to $499: 29%
  • $500 to $749: 11%
  • $750 to $999: 6%
  • $1,000 or more: 6%
  • Not sure: 10%
  • Not shopping that weekend: 8%

Gen Z stands out. 36% plan to raise their budget and only 10% plan to cut it, while boomers are evenly split (17% more, 18% less). Gen Z's budgets still start lower, though: an estimated $362 on average, compared with $442 for Gen X.
Bigger budgets don't stretch as far as they used to: as our report on what $50 buys on Black Friday shows, a shopper today would need about $94 to match what $50 bought in 2000.

Question: Compared with last year, how much do you plan to spend over the Black Friday and Cyber Monday weekend this year?

The remaining 8% didn't shop that weekend last year, so they couldn't compare, and 4% don't plan to shop this year.

Answer

Overall

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Boomers

Women

Men

About the same (within 10%)

44%

42%

44%

47%

44%

46%

44%

About 10% to 24% more

17%

24%

19%

15%

10%

16%

18%

At least 25% less

10%

5%

9%

12%

12%

11%

8%

About 10% to 24% less

8%

5%

12%

8%

7%

7%

9%

At least 25% more

8%

12%

7%

7%

8%

9%

7%

Plans don't always survive the weekend. Last year, 26% spent more than they had planned, rising to 32% among those who shopped and remembered what they spent.
40% spent about what they planned and 14% spent less, with men more likely than women to stick to their plan (45% vs 36%).
Clothing tops this year's shopping lists (64%), just ahead of electronics like TVs, laptops, and phones (59%). For many, this weekend is when gift shopping is done: 48% are planning to buy at least half of their gifts in the sales.

Question: Which of these do you plan to buy in this year's Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales? Select all that apply.

The remaining 8% didn't shop that weekend last year

Answer

Overall

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Boomers

Women

Men

Clothing and shoes

64%

73%

63%

68%

49%

67%

60%

Electronics

59%

62%

67%

59%

42%

51%

67%

Toys and games

38%

42%

47%

33%

32%

40%

37%

Home goods

31%

38%

35%

27%

28%

36%

27%

Beauty

30%

36%

34%

29%

21%

44%

15%

Groceries

25%

22%

25%

26%

27%

25%

24%

Gift cards

24%

19%

22%

27%

25%

24%

24%

Tools and DIY

15%

16%

15%

17%

10%

11%

20%

Travel

9%

14%

10%

7%

5%

8%

9%

On gifts, 12% plan to do nearly all of their gift shopping during the sales. Boomers rely on them the least: 14% will do none of their gift shopping that weekend, compared with 4% of Gen Z and millennials.

To make room for Black Friday, 55% will cut back on something else. Eating out and takeout is the first to go (25%), followed by clothes and personal spending (11%) and travel (9%). Gen Z is the most willing to give up restaurants. 35% will cut back on eating out, compared with 14% of boomers.

1-in-4-cut-back
1 in 4 Americans will cut back on eating out to afford Black Friday

Most will pay with money they already have: 53% plan to use a debit card or cash, and 41% will use a credit card they'll pay off right away. 18% will carry a credit card balance, while 15% will use buy now, pay later services like Klarna, Afterpay, or Affirm.

Question: How do you plan to pay for what you buy over the Black Friday and Cyber Monday weekend? Select all that apply.

Fewer than 1% plan to use a personal loan or a line of credit.

Answer

Overall

Gen Z

Millennials

Gen X

Boomers

Women

Men

Debit card or cash

53%

64%

57%

49%

46%

58%

48%

Credit card, paid off in full

41%

46%

45%

36%

39%

37%

47%

Savings

20%

26%

22%

16%

15%

21%

17%

Credit card, carrying a balance

18%

14%

20%

21%

15%

18%

19%

Buy now, pay later

15%

19%

19%

14%

8%

19%

12%

Gift cards or store credit

12%

14%

14%

9%

12%

11%

12%

Not shopping

8%

4%

5%

9%

15%

6%

10%

1 in 5 expect to be paying for Black Friday after January
For some, the bill will outlast the holidays. 22% expect to be paying off this year's purchases after January, rising to 53% among buy now, pay later users, compared with 16% of other shoppers. And 6% are still paying off last year's Black Friday.
Here's when shoppers expect to finish paying off this year's purchases:

  • Before the end of January: 65%
  • One to three more months after January: 15%
  • Four to six more months: 5%
  • More than six more months: 2%

53% of buy now, pay later users expect to still be paying after January, more than three times the rate of other shoppers (16%).

Black Friday brings out some unusual behavior. 34% have bought something they didn't need because it was cheap, and 24% have waited in line for two hours or more. Smaller groups have lied about what they spent (6%), camped outside a store overnight (5%), or called in sick to shop (5%).

1-in-4-wait-2-hours
1 in 4 Americans have waited 2+ hours in line for a Black Friday deal

Gen Z is the most prone to impulse buys (46%, vs 20% of boomers), while men are more likely than women to have camped out overnight (8% vs 3%).
Some of those purchases don't age well. 20% could name a Black Friday buy they regret, and electronics make up about 6 in 10 of those regrets. TVs alone come up in about 1 in 5.

Every finding in this report comes back to one question: is the deal in front of you actually worth it?
Our Black Friday calculator answers that in seconds. Enter the original price and the type of deal, whether it's a percent-off discount, "buy 2, get 1 free," or a double discount, and it shows what you'll really pay and save, with shipping and tax included. For the full picture, compare the result with the item's lowest price over the last 90 days, since the "was" price on the tag may be higher than what the item usually sells for.

Omni Calculator surveyed 1,000 US adults on September 16, 2026, via Prolific. After removing 101 respondents who failed an attention check, the final sample was 899 (52% women, 47% men). Generations are defined as Gen Z (18–29), millennials (30–45), Gen X (46–61), and boomers (62+). The margin of error is ±3.3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level, and wider for subgroups.

Percentages are based on all respondents, rounded to whole numbers, and may not total 100%; questions that allowed several answers total more than 100%. Average budgets are estimated from the midpoint of each spending range.

Omni Calculator is a technology and research company that provides more than 3,800 calculators designed to help users make data-informed decisions across a range of professional and everyday topics.

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